
Chart Courtesy of StockCharts.com
The U.S. Dollar continues to gain strength and the Powershares
U.S. Dollar Bull ETF (NYSE: UUP) has crossed above its 200-day
moving average.

Chart Courtesy of StockCharts.com
The markets are fixated on the action in the S & P 500. And
we agree that it is significant. Yet, a more important trend
may be reversing in the U.S. Dollar as a multi-year down trend
in the greenback may have started to reverse.
The 200-day moving average is the line between bull and bear markets, and the
dollar is now technically in a bull market. To be sure, it's early in the game,
and things could change, especially on Friday if the employment numbers are not
dollar friendly.
Yet, the dollar has a lot going for it. For one thing, Europe has three countries,
Spain, Portugal, and Greece, that are in deep fiscal trouble. Japan is also increasingly
weak and vulnerable economically. And the U.S. economy, barring a double dip,
looks to have stopped falling, or at least seems to be contracting at a slower
rate.
With all the potential trouble spots in the world, and everyone hating the dollar,
it seems reasonable to assume that this is the proverbial blood in the streets
buying opportunity for the dollar.
The key is for the greenback to remain steady and continue to climb, even if
it's a slow grind.
Dr. Duarte owns shares in UUP.
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